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The S&P 500 has returned an average of 10% per year since 1928 despite an average intra-year drawdown of -16%. We're at -17% right now.

00:01 - 08/04/25

 

 

What are the historical odds that dollar-cost averaging (DCA) into stocks over 12 months will beat a lump sum investment? 32%.

 

We just saw the 16th worst 2-day drop in the S&P 500 on record at -10.5%. 1929, 1932-33, 1987, 2008, 2020, 2025.

 

 

We all know that about 30% of revenue for the S&P 500 comes from overseas. BofA shows that the tech sector is the most exposed

 

 

Mag 7 stocks generate 49% of revenue overseas. That could hurt a bit given the retaliatory measures that are likely to be coming...

 

 

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