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It has anticipated the last 9 recessions

00:01 - 09/09/24

Chinese banks have built a $100bn short against the US dollar to prop up the yuan — and hedge funds are eager to get in on the trade. At the center of it all are transactions known as FX swaps. These have quietly become a key tool for state-run Chinese banks seeking to prop up

Yield Curve

US YIELD CURVE TURNS POSITIVE FOR ONLY SECOND TIME SINCE 2022 - Bloomberg.

Europe will change as we go forward, there will be quite profound social, political and economic implications. We have not seen anything yet.