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The S&P 500 has gained 10% per year over the long run (including dividends) but that return hasn't come in a straight line. Changes in investor sentiment have led to huge deviations from the 10% trendline at times, with periods of extreme greed (2000) & extreme fear (2009).

00:01 - 12/11/25

 

 

Mag 7 earnings growth continues to outpace the rest of the S&P 500, though it is slowing

 

“No one has ever been a success betting against America since 1776 – and they’re not going to be a success in the future doing it, either.” - Warren Buffett

 

 

The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index has moved down to 50.3, the 2nd lowest reading in the survey's history (since 1952)

 

The top 10% of income earners make up almost half of all spending, up from just a third in the 1990s

 

 

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